人民币能取代美元吗？

Can the Chinese Yuan replace the US dollar? The Future Hegemony of the US Dollar is at risk.

人民币能取代美元吗？美元未来的霸权地位面临风险。

Carina Braganza

Let’s do it! Let every country currency become important. Their products, their rules! Away from dollar dominance

来吧，让每个国家的货币都会变得重要起来，还有他们的产品，他们的规则

摆脱美元主导地位

 

Shen

Ancient China had invented the paper bankne, which spread to the rest of the world having paper currencies of their own.

Now China is rolling out the digital Renminbi, it's only a matter of time that other countries adopt digital currencies of their own.

古代中国发明了纸币，并传播到世界其他地方，让其他国家也拥有了自己的纸币。

现在中国正在推出数字人民币，其他国家也会采用自己的数字货币，这只是时间问题。

 

yu

Replacing the US$ with Chinese RMB is not China's intention, it never was. China prefers a basket of currencies for world trade and the mutually agreed currency/currencies between trading partners. But China would not allow the US$ to be used as a won to sanction other countries to force them to toe the line

用人民币取代美元不是中国的本意，从来都不是。

中国更喜欢世界贸易的一篮子货币，以及贸易伙伴之间相互认可的货币。

但中国不会允许用美元作为武器来制裁其他国家，迫使他们遵守规则

 

MixJe Son

By other countries holding dollars and trading in dollars, it gives the dollar value which otherwise it would not have.

If you print a dollar and nobody wants it then it is a worthless piece of paper. However, if you make the dollar the reserve currency and force people to trade in dollars using a banking mechanism like swift then people around the world trading it would increase the demand for dollars.

其他国家持有美元并以美元进行交易，这赋予了美元本来没有的价值。

如果你印了一美元，但没有人要它，那么它就是一张毫无价值的纸。然而，如果你让美元成为储备货币，并迫使人们使用类似swift的银行机制来进行美元交易，世界各地的人们用美元交易，将会增加对美元的需求。

 

Shen

Traditionally, it's been country with the world's largest economy that holds the world's reserve currency.

In the 19th century, it was Great Britain and the Pound Sterling.

In the 20th century, it was the United States and the U.S Dollar.

In the 21st century, it's expected that China's economy will overtake the U.S's and with that, the Renminbi might pentially become the world reserve.

传统上，中国一直是全世界最大的持有世界储备货币的经济体。

在19世纪，是英国和英镑。

在20世纪，是美国和美元。

在21世纪，预计中国经济将超越美国，人民币有可能成为世界储备货币。

 

Larez121

That's insanity, 80% of the dollars in circulation were printed in the last two months. And the billionaires got the bulk of it.

这太疯狂了，80%的流通美元都是在过去两个月里印出来的。亿万富翁们得到了其中的大部分。

 

Shen

During the 19th century, Britain was world's largest economy and the Pound Sterling became the world's reserve currency

Britain was eventually overtaken by the United States in the 20th century as the world's largest economy, and the U.S Dollar became the world's reserve currency. Now in the 21st century, China's economy is expected to surpass the United State's someday in the foreseeable future, and that suggests that the Chinese Renminbi could pentially become the next reserve currency.

在19世纪，英国是世界上最大的经济体，英镑是世界储备货币

英国最终在20世纪被美国取代，美国成为世界上最大的经济体，美元成为世界储备货币。在21世纪的今天，中国经济有望在可预见的将来超过美国，这意味着人民币有可能成为下一个储备货币。

 

markuc

80% of USD in circulation had been printed in the last 24 months. That fact alone should send shivers down the se of all US bond holders.

流通中的美元80%是在过去24个月里印的。这一事实本身就能让所有美国债券持有人不寒而栗。

 

Teofilo L

I don't think China is looking to replace USD with Yuan. The goal is to enable the use of other currencies other than USD and to make it easier for international trade to be conducted away from the US controlled Swift payment sy em. It's non of US business to permit or forbid trade between everybody in the world.

我认为中国并没有寻求用人民币取代美元。其目标是允许使用美元以外的其他货币，并使国际贸易更容易在美国控制的Swift支付系统之外进行。美国不得允许或禁止世界上每个人之间的贸易。

 

MixJe Son

Russia just have to offi ally announced that all energy transactions in Russia only accept gold, rmb or rubles and do not accept any other currencies. This is equivalent to Russia's domestic energy cutting off all transactions with the US and Europe. In a word, I will not sell it. Unless the US and Europe take rmb/rubles to buy, but is it possible?

Impossible! Because the amount is too large, if the US and Europe do this, the status of the rmb/ruble will rise immediately, not to mention exceeding it, it will definitely be on an equal footing with the dollar and the euro.

俄罗斯只需正式宣布，俄罗斯所有能源交易只接受黄金、人民币或卢布，不接受任何其他货币。这相当于俄罗斯切断了与美国和欧洲的所有能源交易。

总之，我不卖，除非美国和欧洲使用人民币/卢布交易，但这有可能吗？

不可能的

因为金额太大，如果美欧这样做，人民币/卢布的地位会立刻上升，与美元和欧元平起平坐，甚至超过它们。

 

The Tree Keeper

China won't want to be the world reserve currency as it isn't compatible with its economic model of being a manufacturing hub. If the Chinese currency gets too high, than the price of their goods would not be competitive and instead will lose business.

中国不想让人民币成为世界储备货币，因为这与中国作为制造业中心的经济模式不兼容。

如果人民币汇率过高，他们的商品价格就没有竞争力，反而会失去生意。

 

sihplak

I don't know if it'd make sense for China to supplant the dollar as the world's reserve currency; rather, I would suspect China would seek for a path akin to what John Maynard Keynes and Harry Dexter White proposed in the Bretton Woods negotiations of having an international currency or unit of account rather than a nation's currency as the international reserve currency (both of whoms proposals were shot down). I think this would especially make sense since it would completely destroy the unipolar world order the U.S. has led since WWII.

我不知道中国取代美元成为世界储备货币是否有意义

相反，我认为中国会寻求一条类似于约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯和哈里•德克斯特•怀特(Harry Dexter White)在布雷顿森林谈判中提出的道路，即使用一种国际货币或计算单位，而不是一国的货币作为国际储备货币(他们的这两种建议都被否决了)。我认为这很有意义，因为这将彻底摧毁美国自二战以来主导的单极世界秩序。

 

Pascal Poussin

When the dollar looses it's place as the dominant currency in the world, could it loose it's de acy as well?

当美元失去其作为世界主导货币的地位时，美国是否也会失去民 主?

 

Shen

Russia is pegging the Ruble to gold and China is backing the digital Renminbi by gold, whereas the U.S Dollar is backed by nothing.

俄罗斯将卢布与黄金挂钩，中国以黄金作为数字人民币的后盾，而美元则没有任何后盾。

 

Noel Borbon

RMB/yuan is currently the third most traded currency behind EUR and USD as tracked by SWIFT and CHIPS.

More currency swaps with other countries and regions, the more USD will decline it's share.

根据SWIFT和CHIPS的跟踪，人民币目前是仅次于欧元和美元的第三大交易货币。与其他国家和地区的货币互换越多，美元的份额就会越低。

 

MrSinister

yes it can. china can do whatever they want. they should use yuan. instead of usa. usa been using this money to wage war in iraq and libya .

是的，人民币能取代美元的。

中国应该使用人民币，而不是美元。美国一直在用美元在伊拉克和利比亚发动战争。

 

Roni Taylor

Alternate question: can the concept of 'world reserve currency' be retired altogether?

另一个问题：“世界储备货币”的概念是否能完全退出历史舞台?

 

Robert Spitz

The US hegemony of ARROGANCE and HYPOCRISY has worn itself out and nations are now pushing back.  Technology will make this happen SO FAST.

美国傲慢和虚伪的霸权已经快油尽灯枯了，各国正在反击。科技将使这一切发生，如此之快。

 

Hidden Agenda

Can it? Yes. Everything comes from China and China can say, if you want to buy Chinese goods, you must pay in Yuan.  

This includes companies like Apple that imports phones from China.

能吗？是的。所有东西都来自中国，中国可以说，如果你想买中国商品，你必须用人民币支付，包括像苹果这样从中国进口手机的公司。

 

Galic

There is now a diversity of reserve currencies — these include the US Dollar, Yuan, Yen, Euro, Rouble, Rupee, Sterling, and Australian Dollar. Diversity reduces currency risk.

现在有多种储备货币，包括美元、人民币、日元、欧元、卢布、卢比、英镑和澳元。多元化可以降低货币风险。

 

Michael Z

My opion is currently No, in the future definitely Yes.

我的观点是，目前不行，将来绝对可以。

 

GodGiven

thank you! it will be great to have a another currency to parallel with US. So country or people will have a a choice to look for alternative rather than relying on just one and let it dictate the world.

有另一种货币与美国平起平坐是好事。国家和人民将有另一个选择，不用只依赖一个，由它主宰世界。

 

William Lee

It's really sad that the common people's earned money can be affected from geopo itics.  

普通人的收入会受到地缘政治的影响，这真的很悲哀。

 

Kl Daud

Renminbi:

Avoid The US sanction.

Avoid The US wonising dollar to punish other countries.

人民币:

避免美国的制裁。

避免美国将美元武器化以惩罚其他国家。

 

58MYSG83

Previous erosion of USD use from 80% to 59% is not due to CNY, as CNY's share is still about 2.8% today. CNY's share will increase, but still not replacing USD's dominance by 2030. 2040-2050 maybe. Even if countries wants to switch to CNY for trade, China will be doing so slowly, lest it causes CNY instability. Sanctions only hurt ordinary people, never the rich and powerful.

之前美元使用量从80%下降到59%，原因并不是人民币，因为人民币目前的份额仍为2.8%。人民币的份额将会增加，但在2030年无法取代美元的主导地位，也许要到2040 - 2050。即使一些国家希望在贸易中使用人民币，中国也会逐步使用，以免造成人民币汇率的不稳定。制裁只会伤害普通民众，伤不到有钱有势的人。

 

SECRET FOUNTAIN OF YOUTH

doing business outside China is still in US dollar.

在中国境外做生意仍以美元结算。

 

mark yeung

As the Chinese market grows, Renminbi is playing an increasingly important role for the world economy. Its next step is to be a freely convertible currency. Convertibility is an important factor in international trades.

随着中国市场的发展，人民币对世界经济发挥着越来越重要的作用。下一步是成为一种可自由兑换的货币，可兑换性是国际贸易中的一个重要因素。

 

m c

travelled to 137 countries, never touched a dollar in my live. Just saying

去了137个国家，没用过美元

 

True Neutral

No more dollar hegemony. It's time to start building a multipolar world for everyone.

去美元霸权，是时候开始建立一个多极世界了。

 

Shawn Zhang

foreseeing the future in advance!!

提前预见未来